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Will Barrow deliver on the promises?

Opinion
The Gambia’s new president, Adama Barrow, received a hero’s welcome when he returned to Banjul after his makeshift inauguration in neighbouring Senegal at the end of last month.

Tens of thousands of well-wishers came out to rejoice at the democratic victory that ended more than two decades of rule by autocrat Yahya Jammeh.

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IN THE SPOTLIGHT: All eyes are on Gambian President Adama Barrow to see whether he keeps the promises he made during his campaigning for presidency. Picture: AP

Barrow and his coalition government are riding high on a wave of popularity. But major challenges lie ahead in reforming a country that has to be rebuilt within a self-imposed three-year term.

If the honeymoon period is to last, their first test is to prove to the nation that “New Gambia” really is a different country.

Great expectations

“We have got to start on the right footing,” said Sait Matty Jaw, a Gambian PhD student who went into exile in Norway after being arrested and imprisoned in 2014 for his human rights work.

“Everything under Jammeh’s regime was tailor-made to suit his interests, so for us to move forward, the government has to show it is different from the former regime.”

After 22 years of not being allowed to criticise the government, Gambians – especially the younger generation of educated professionals that played a major role in pushing for political change – are already scrutinising the new administration.

For some, Barrow’s cabinet announcements last week carried disappointing echoes of the old ways of appointing: entitlement over merit. Out of the 11 filled posts, each of the seven parties that form the coalition got a major post, while Barrow’s United Democratic Party got three. One blog suggested he had chosen a “cabinet that attempts to reward and preserve the coalition that brought him to power”.

“The potential for patronage is still there,” said Jeggan Grey-Johnson, a Gambian who works for the Open Society Initiative of Southern Africa and hopes to play an active role in the reform process.

“Barrow doesn’t (yet) have the experience and gravitas as a politician, and those surrounding him have 10 times the amount of authority, so he will have to defer to their competing interests.”

The cabinet is old and predominantly male, and that demographic has also come in for criticism.

“They may have the wisdom, but they lack the dynamism required to deal with the modern challenges of the Gambian youth population,” argued Salieu Taal, a lawyer and founder of the #GambiaHasDecided opposition umbrella movement.

Youth power

It is the younger generation that has been the driving force behind political change, voting in unprecedented numbers in last year’s election. It is no surprise they want to make sure their voices are heard and represented in government after decades of repression.

Last week, youth groups staged the country’s first peaceful demonstration without fear of harassment by the authorities. About 1000 youths protested outside the National Assembly, calling for all members of parliament that supported Jammeh’s motion for a state of emergency to resign.

The National Youth Council is also launching the Not2Young2Run campaign to encourage and support young people in contesting for parliament in the National Assembly elections in April.

The coalition government has already made clear it is a transitional administration with the primary goal of righting the wrongs perpetrated under Jammeh.

Speaking before being appointed as foreign minister, Ousainou Darboe, a former opposition leader, acknowledged that three years was too short a time to repair all the damage, but said the foundations would have been laid.

The government has not shared any kind of roadmap for what it specifically aims to achieve, and it runs the risk of failing to manage expectations.

“The government needs to identify the magnitude of the challenge and where to prioritise its interventions,” said Grey-Johnson. “People need to be reassured that the coalition understands the challenges and to communicate there is a plan and how they’re going to go about it.”

Economic crisis

The economy is in dire straits. The Gambia’s poverty rate is 50percent and its debt repayment rate is 100percent of gross domestic product, according to Grey-Johnson. “So, whatever we make goes straight out of the country,” he said.

Add to this the thousands of tourists during the election crisis who went home in the middle of the season, the hotels that are half booked, and the reality is “unemployment is about to shoot up”.

It is unlikely the rate of youth unemployment can be tackled soon. And this is the most urgent employment problem the government faces, with thousands of youths attempting the illegal “back-way” Mediterranean route to Europe.

“The back-way trend is only going to be addressed if there are policies to attract the young people,” said Employment Minister Isatou Touray. That means “finding jobs and addressing the human rights situation, and having freedom of movement so they can help themselves under this regime”.

Donors on board

The coalition is making good on its promise of improving international relations and encouraging long-term business investment, development, and, ultimately, job creation.

Ministers have met officials from several donor countries, including China. There have been talks with the World Bank, the African Development Bank and the International Monetary Fund, as well as the signing of the first World Bank-funded project to promote child and maternal health.

A decision by the EU to reinstate its $33million development fund, frozen from 2015/16 over human rights concerns, is also welcome.

Abdul Aziz Bensouda, secretary general of the Gambia Bar Association, believes establishing a truth and reconciliation commission will be an important part of the reform – a step towards healing after decades of human rights abuses and embezzlement under Jammeh.

“We need a commission of inquiry to investigate the crimes over the years, to allow civil society to decide what to do with them.”

Momodou Sabally, a former minister who was jailed twice by Jammeh, agrees, but urges caution.

“There’s a lot of anger and zeal for vengeance, but we should be careful,” he said. “So many people have served in Jammeh’s regime; some of the victims have been villains too in this stretch of time.”

If not handled properly, “the government won’t be able to do any work”. “They’ll be having to deal with these things piecemeal until their time is up. So, it’s important to address this in as mature a manner as possible.”

The young, in particular, are in a rush to create New Gambia, but how much real change can be achieved in just three years under a coalition government?

For Bensouda, simply “righting the wrongs and democratising the country” would be a start.

Louise Hunt is a freelance journalist and IRIN contributor specialising in social affairs and international development; Philip Kleinfeld is a freelance journalist and IRIN contributor

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